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2024-12-13 05:00:55

Let's take a look at the news first. Yesterday morning, "Three major events affecting A shares over the weekend: official media released positive signals!" The CSRC will make major adjustments! In the article, Jun Ge made a detailed analysis of several major events on the weekend news. This past weekend, although there were many news events at home and abroad, it was only a mixed situation in the end, which would not have much impact on the market trend this Monday. Therefore, today's A-share market and GEM index are both flat, not significantly higher or lower.However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.According to the latest inflation data released by the Bureau of Statistics, in November this year, China's consumer price index rose by 0.2% year-on-year, down by 0.1% compared with October. It has been slowly weakening for four consecutive months, and it is still near the zero axis. At the same time, the PPI decreased by 2.5% in November, which was slightly higher than that in October, but it still performed poorly.


Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.In Saturday's article and this morning's [A-share news], Jun Ge clearly pointed out that the main force to make A-shares last Friday was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, and it was the national team hidden behind the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF! The reason why the national team chose to enter the arena last Friday is that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has great benefits; The second is to maintain stability and prevent the A-share market from falling sharply during the meeting.


Let's go back to the question at the beginning of this article. When the performance of the market and the Growth Enterprise Market is divided, either the market will go up with the Growth Enterprise Market; Either the growth enterprise market dragged the market back to the box structure. Now the answer should be clear!First, this year we will successfully complete the economic growth target set at the beginning of the year! The meeting held that this year is a crucial year to realize the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, and China's economic strength, scientific and technological strength and comprehensive national strength have been continuously enhanced. The new quality productivity has developed steadily, the reform and opening up has continued to deepen, the risk mitigation in key areas has been orderly and effective, and the people's livelihood security has been solid and powerful. The main objectives and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year will be successfully completed.However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.

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